Paul Biya and the AU
When Cameroonians went to the polls on 12 October 2025, many hoped the election of veteran ruler Paul Biya would finally push the African Union (AU) to take a stand — to protect democracy, call out abuse, and enforce accountability. Instead, the AU’s muted reaction revealed something deeper: Africa’s leading political institution has shifted from being a watchdog of democracy to an enabler of authoritarianism.
After Cameroon’s Constitutional Council declared Biya the winner with 53.66% of the vote, the AU Commission Chairperson swiftly extended congratulations. The statement briefly mentioned “grave concern about reported violence, repression, and arrests,” but ultimately endorsed the result without demanding investigation or offering any credible mechanism for accountability.
The AU’s Election Observation Mission (EOM), which deployed 40 short-term observers alongside long-term counterparts, was tasked with assessing whether the elections met regional and international standards. Yet Cameroonian civil society documented widespread irregularities — from ballot-box stuffing and ghost voters to intimidation and unequal access to voting materials.
Despite these credible concerns, the AU described the polls as “largely in accordance with standards.” This disconnect between the realities on the ground and the AU’s official stance underscores the institution’s declining credibility as a defender of democracy.
Cameroon’s case is not an isolated failure. The AU has shown the same timid posture elsewhere — in Zimbabwe, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), and beyond.
In Zimbabwe’s 2018 elections, the AU’s observer mission produced a report that praised minor improvements but ignored widespread evidence of structural bias, media control, and voter intimidation. Critics argued that by soft-pedaling the truth, the AU legitimized a flawed process and reinforced authoritarian continuity.
Similarly, in the DRC’s 2018 elections, AU observers noted irregularities but stopped short of challenging the disputed results or pushing for transparency. The message was clear: political stability and diplomatic caution outweighed democratic integrity.
This pattern reflects a broader institutional weakness — the AU’s failure to uphold its founding principles. Rather than a bulwark against democratic erosion, the AU increasingly serves as a rubber stamp for entrenched regimes seeking continental legitimacy.
In Cameroon’s 2025 election, the contradictions were glaring. A 92-year-old leader who has ruled since 1982 secures another term amid protests, arrests, and violence, while the AU congratulates him. Its observation mission, active from 7 to 16 October, produced a bland report and departed, leaving Cameroonians disillusioned.
There was no demand for an independent audit, no call for accountability, and no follow-up mechanism. The AU’s presence appeared performative rather than principled — a show of procedure without substance.
For citizens who once viewed the African Union as a guardian of democratic expression, the message is devastating: you may vote, but your regional protector will look away if your rulers rig the system.
Every time the African Union fails to act, it sends a dangerous signal to authoritarian leaders across the continent: electoral manipulation will not be punished. This erodes trust not only in domestic institutions but also in regional frameworks meant to uphold rule of law, human rights, and democratic governance.
The AU’s inaction emboldens incumbents, discourages opposition participation, and leaves civil society exposed. For Africa’s fragile democracies — where international legitimacy often matters more than domestic protest — the AU’s silence becomes a license to entrench power.
If the African Union is to remain relevant, it must reform itself. That means:
Until that happens, the AU’s claim to defend democracy will ring hollow — and its silence will continue to aid autocrats, not Africans.
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